May 22nd, 2010 by raiseandfold
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It takes a lot of heart to bluff someone out of a big pot. Same goes for making a hero call.

Reason is, if you try to pick off a bluff without a good read on your opponent, the texture of the board and the betting, then savvier players will break you, as Greg Raymer demonstrated at the World Poker Tour’s $15,000-buy-in Doyle Brunson Five Diamond World Poker Classic at Las Vegas’ Bellagio in 2008.

With blinds at $300-$600 plus a $75 ante, the player in the cutoff seat open-raised to $1,600. Raymer, the 2004 World Series of Poker main event champion, found A-10 offsuit on the button.

“I probably should re-raise in that spot because my hand figures to be a lot better than his, because he had been raising about three times an orbit, so you don’t give him credit for a big starting hand anymore,” Raymer said. “But the blinds are so deep that I hate to turn my hand into a bluff. If it comes back to him and he raises again, or if one of the blinds raises on top of me, then my hand is clearly trash and I have to throw it away. I hate to miss seeing a flop in position.”

Raymer called, as did Jennifer Tilly from the big blind. Three players took a flop of A-10-9, rainbow. Tilly checked. The initial raiser made it $4,000.

“That’s a very coordinated board even though it’s rainbow,” said Raymer. “Any king, queen, jack, 8, 7 or 6 makes a possible straight. If a 9 comes off, that could beat me.

“Plus, I don’t want to necessarily flat-call and allow Jennifer to call with her K-Q or K-J and catch a gutshot on me.”

So, Raymer raised to $13,000. Tilly folded. The cutoff thought for a while before calling.

“I’ve got him on A-K or A-Q because he didn’t seem strong to me,” Raymer said.

The turn came the jack of clubs. The cutoff checked.

“I’m sure that card doesn’t help him,” Raymer said. “He doesn’t have K-Q [for a straight]. He doesn’t have A-J [for top two pair]. There’s about $32,000 in the pot. He had $40,000 left. I’ve got a little over that. I decide to bet everything and put him all in because there are so many cards that could beat me.”

“He goes in the tank for a long time. Then he asks me, ‘Why so much?’ Then he asks the dealer to spread the pot. Then he miscounts it. Then he thinks for another couple of minutes and he says, ‘I call,’ and he has A-5.”

The river blanked. Raymer took his opponent’s stack.

May 19th, 2010 by raiseandfold
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This is another great read from over 8 years ago and still holds true today.
Most decent players have a pretty good understanding about when to fold preflop. The decision you make preflop is a crucial one.

Simply put, you want to play premium hands preflop. In terms of marginal hands, you want to play suited connectors/small pairs more when it is a multi-way pot and less so when it is about three people seeing the flop. For big cards such as AJ or KT, the opposite is the case. Be more willing to play these hands in a heads up or three way situation. Always fold garbage hands like Q5 offsuit.

Again, these preflop decisions are important, but they are not the whole story. There are three rounds of betting postflop, and the decisions you make are not automatic. Surely, pot odds will help you, especially if you are on a draw, but what do you do if you have a made hand but are unsure of where you are in the hand?

For example, suppose you have AJs and the flop is QJ2. The pot was raised preflop, and you have pot odds to go ahead and call the flop. What do you do on the turn? Again, this is a judgment call. If someone bets the turn and someone raises and another player calls, you can be rest assured that your jacks are not good and go ahead and fold. However, what if someone bets, everyone else who is still in folds and it’s to you? What is the correct decision?

Small Mistakes vs. Big Mistakes

In Limit Hold’em, the bets are a small fraction of the pot. This encourages action because it is cheaper to see a showdown. This aspect of limit appeals to fish and new players who like to ‘see cards.’

Most bad players lose money at limit over time and not one any one big hand. This is because they continually make small mistakes. They call when they do not have pot odds, or they continue to call when they are clearly beat. Every time you call when you shouldn’t, you are making a small mistake.

A big mistake at Limit Hold’em is folding when you should not have. I do not mean folding early and then later founding out you would have hit a miracle river. I mean folding when you have the best hand late in the pot. For example, suppose you have AQ. The board is KQ2 rainbow. You raised the pot preflop and there were 3 callers (8 small bets). It is checked around to you. You bet, someone raises, 2 people call, you call. A 5 falls on the turn. The raiser bets, the other players fold.

Right now, there is a total of 18 small bets in the pot (8 preflop, 8 flop, 2 turn- remember a big bet is equivalent to two small bets ). What should you do? You are probably beat. However, if you call on the turn and the river, you will invest a total of 4 small bets. If you call to the river, there will be a total of 24 small bets in the pot, so you must win this pot 1/6 or more of the time in order for a call down to be appropriate. Assuming you have 5 outs (which is not the case if he has KQ or AK but let’s just assume), you have a 12% chance of drawing out. So, you roughly have a 1/8 chance of winning because you draw out. In this case, you only need to be roughly 4% confident that you have him beat (1/6-1/8). This is very small indeed!

Thus, you should probably go ahead and call down, even though you probably are beat. However, many weak-tight players will fold this, which is a disaster if the other player is bluffing or is on a draw.

So When to Fold?

Basically, there are two major decisions to be made at Limit Hold’em. The first is preflop, whether to play your hand or not, and the second decision is to be made on the turn. The flop decision is not that important because most of the time you will just be making a calling a small bet; this is a decision that can be made almost entirely based on pot odds.

The second major decision is on the turn. Assuming you call the turn, you should call the river because it would be a disaster to fold the winning hand on the river. Calling the turn and the river means investing 2 big bets, equivalent to 4 small bets. Assuming the pot is raised preflop and just one bet is made postflop, you would have only invested 3 bets to see the turn. Thus, you can fold at the turn and lose slightly less than half the money you would have lost had you called to a showdown.

The river is not the time to fold your hand. The only exceptions to this are when you missed a draw (such as a small flush draw) or if there is so much betting and raising that you know you are beat.

May 15th, 2010 by raiseandfold
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I came across this article several years ago and don’t know who the original author is to give the credit to however this is a good read for the novice player to help them get an understanding of how to improve their chances in tournament play.

In terms of strategy, No-Limit tournaments are very different from No-Limit ring games. You simply can’t bluff as much because people’s stacks tend to be smaller in relation to the size of the pot. Also, since the amount of chips you win from a bluff is worth less than the amount you stand to lose, bluffing loses a lot of value.

Now, many of you may be confused. Suppose you bluff 1000 chips at a 1000 pot and figure you have a 50-60% chance of taking it down. Many of you would think it’s worth it to take that risk. However, those 1000 chips you win are worth less than those 1000 chips you stand to lose. If you have a 2000 stack, getting knocked down to 1000 has much more negative value than the positive value of getting up to 3000. The 1000 chips do not represent money. The only monetary value in the tournament is either losing all of your chips or winning them all (and losing them all is more important because you do get a prize if you lose them all in the late stages of the tournament). Losing those 1000 chips knocks you half the way out, but winning those 1000 doesn’t do squat for winning.

This is not to imply that you can simply fold your way into the money. The blinds will eat you alive. You must win pots so you don’t get knocked out most of the time. Towards the end of the tournament, you can think of winning pots to win the whole tournament. However, most of the time you must win pots simply so you don’t lose!

Thus, in the early stages of the tournament, you should avoid gambling much. Generally, the amount you win isn’t worth the gamble. If you can see the flop for cheap with a suited connector or someone goes all in preflop and you have AA, by all means go for it. However, I wouldn’t suggest bluffing all in as a wise move. In the early stages, you want to win a huge pot here and there because you hold the nuts. Target a bad player and make him pay you off.

Towards the middle of the tournament, you need to switch gears. Since the blinds get bigger, stealing the blinds will help you stay alive. Here, the gap concept becomes more important. It takes a much weaker hand than usual to raise to steal the blind, but a stronger hand than usual to call a raise. The middle rounds introduce the survival mode’ concept.

Again, most of the time you will be looking just to survive and increase your stack bit by bit in the middle rounds. You want to avoid confrontation without the nuts and just take down some small pots without controversy.

However, if you are a large chip stack (or even just a medium one), you may want to take advantage of this survival mode. Take control of the game by raising and frequently putting other people at a decision for all of their chips. After all, if they go all in, they’re risking it all but you aren’t because you can lose the pot and still keep on fighting. However, don’t do this too much. Steal some pots, but don’t be so obvious that people will call you all in with top or even second pair. Also, don’t do this against very bad players. They will call everything.

Towards the end of the tournament is when the coin flip decisions become very important. Frequently, the blinds are so high it makes sense for a player with a low or moderate stack to go all in preflop. Generally, when you go all in you want to have A(good kicker) or a pocket pair. If you have A(good kicker) you are an advantage to all non pocket pairs and may even have someone dominated. If you have a pocket pair, you are a small advantage against all non pocket pairs and at a huge advantage/disadvantage against other pocket pairs (depending on their size).

Generally, if you have one of these marginal hands, it’s best to just shove all of your chips in preflop. When you are a low stack, you cannot afford to be blinded away anymore. Once the flop comes, chances are it’s not going to be perfect. By shoving in all of your chips preflop, you have the added chance of stealing the blinds and can avoid being bluffed out.

May 13th, 2010 by raiseandfold
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Hello everyone,

I am TJ the Manager of RaiseandFold Poker Room and I plan on talking about poker, upcoming events and whatever else comes to mind.

One thing you’ll find is that I am a big advocate of women playing poker and taking part in the tournaments.

The majority of poker players is male with about 10% I would say women players. This site is full of women and I wonder why more don’t play? Is it that they are intimidated? Don’t know how to play? or Feel that they just can’t compete?

One of the stigmas women players have is that they try to use their looks and charm at the table. I am not one to condone this because as a player you use any advantage you think you have to benefit you. When I heard about Poker Knave and the famous Poker Totties I was taken back at first by seeing the women showing their “assets” so freely and it made me think of the stigmas once again.

I’ve looked at a lot of the photos and it wasn’t to see T&A but to try to figure out what the player was trying to sell and how that would help them on the tables.

For online poker it has absolutely no effect. You could use a provocative picture for your avatar and have guys go googoo over it but in the end, it’s all about clicking buttons.

Live Poker you can cause a stir to the amateur players or the dead money players. In watching broadcast of ESPN WSOP we’ve seen it time and time again. Guys say stupid things like “You’re pretty I want to keep you at the table” By all means ladies crush those nits that say stuff like that. They have no business being on the tables.

The old adage of Sex Sells still lives on even on the felt.

Thanks for having me aboard and I look forward to interacting with you.

TJ
Manager
RaiseandFold Poker Room

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